THE ARAB STREET AND IRAN

اضيف الخبر في يوم الخميس ١٥ - يوليو - ٢٠١٠ ١٢:٠٠ صباحاً.


IRAN SANCTIONS: FDD’s Mark Dubowitz writes:
If Europe and the United States get serious about sanctions enforcement, the Iranian regime could find itself without the energy know-how to keep its critical oil and natural gas sectors running. …

The Iranian regime claims it can withstand energy sanctions even though it imports 30 percent of its gasoline. But its much-ballyhooed countermeasures, including the expansion of its refinery capacity, and the introduction of flex-fuel cars, are exaggerated. The regime also plans to cut gasoline subsidies which could double or triple already high inflation rates. …

What should be particularly troubling for Tehran are two changes that occurred during the conference committee: the first, Congress eliminated one sentence in the Iran Sanctions Act which for fourteen years permitted companies providing technology, goods and services to the Iranian oil and natural gas sectors to escape U.S. sanctions; and the second, Congress added additional language to the legislation which could bar foreign companies that do business with the U.S. from entering into joint ventures, partnerships and investments with the Iranian regime for foreign energy projects outside Iran.

With these tweaks to the bill, U.S. sanctions laws could now strike a blow at the heart of Iran’s energy wealth.
More here.
 
THE ARAB STREET AND IRAN: As the Wall Street Journal observes,
The world's most open secret is that the Arab countries of the Middle East fear a nuclear Iran as much, and perhaps more, than Israel does. The surprise is when an official dares to speak this truth in public, which is why the comments this week by United Arab Emirates Ambassador to the U.S. Yousef Al-Otaiba are worth noting. …

"There are many countries in the region who, if they lack the assurance the U.S. is willing to confront Iran, they will start running for cover towards Iran." He also tossed some skepticism at the idea, fashionable in Washington, that Iran can be deterred or contained if it gets a bomb. That's hardly credible if the West fails to stop Iran from becoming a nuclear power after so many declarations that such an outcome was unacceptable.

[T]he U.A.E. foreign ministry dismissed as "inaccurate" a report by the Washington Times that Mr. Otaiba had gone further on the sidelines of the same gabfest and said he preferred a resort to military action to "living with a nuclear Iran." That comment may have been too blunt for the U.A.E. to admit to …

But Mr. Otaiba's other comments leave no doubt what he and most Arab officials think about the prospect of a nuclear revolutionary Shiite state. They desperately want someone, and that means the U.S. or Israel, to stop it, using force if need be.
More here
 
Iranian opposition leader Mir Hossein Mousavi lashed out at President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
for dismissing UN sanctions and urged the government to brief people about the impact of the measures.

"To say that this resolution is like a 'used hankie' will not ease the hardships arising from demagogic policies, as it is clear to me that this resolution will affect our nation's security and economy," Mousavi said in a direct attack on Ahmadinejad. …

Meanwhile, atomic chief Ali Akbar Salehi acknowledged on Wednesday for the first time that the sanctions "may slow down" Tehran's nuclear programme and could pose difficulties for its main uranium enrichment work.

"One can't say sanctions are ineffective," ISNA news agency quoted Salehi as saying.
More here.
 
FDD’s Jonathan Schanzer says that the Treasury Department now has the ability to
expose Tehran’s nuclear network, impede Iran’s energy supply chain, lay groundwork for future U.S. and international sanctions, and provide Europe with key data to hinder Iran’s drive for nuclear weapons.
More here.
 
FDD’s Michael Ledeen here on what’s going on inside Iran now.
 
ISRAEL: FDD’s Ben Weinthal reports on a resolution passed by the German Parliament
slamming the Jewish state for its interception of a flotilla heading for Gaza in open violation of Israel’s naval blockade. …

The Bundestag resolution is the first post-Holocaust legislative act in the Federal Republic to apply disparate treatment to Israel, and it comes at a time when Iran and its subsidiaries Hamas and Hezbollah are determined to obliterate the Jewish state. Given the so-called German-Israeli special relationship based on Israel's security needs being integral to the interests of the Federal Republic, a detached, objective observer could interpret the resolution as a brazen act of betraying Israel's national security.

German parliamentary resolutions targeting Hamas rocket fire (to date, over 8000 have been shot into Israel) in recent years are conspicuously missing from the orders of business list. Predictably, the German parliament has not issued a resolution condemning the rearming of Hezbollah, and its accumulation of an arsenal of over 40,000 rockets and missiles since the end of the second war in Lebanon in 2006. Wasn't Germany supposed to block the delivery of weapons to Hezbollah as part of the cease-fire agreement and its participation in the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon?
More here.
 
The Wall Street Journal editorializes:
It's good to see Mr. Obama finally treating a key American ally as something other than a pariah. The President even went one better, calling America's bond with Israel "unbreakable," cautioning Palestinians to avoid seeking "opportunities to embarrass Israel," and rejecting suggestions that there had ever been any strain in his relationship with his Israeli counterpart. …

But it's difficult to see what progress can be made so long as Palestinians continue to insist on the "right of return" for Palestinian refugees to Israel, which contravenes the point of a two-state solution and would mean the demographic annihilation of the Jewish state. Mr. Obama could help if he continues to make it clear as President -- as he did as a candidate -- that there is no such right.

Overhanging all of this is the threat of a nuclear Iran, a country sworn to Israel's destruction if it can acquire the means to accomplish it. We find it hard to imagine how Israel could live alongside a Palestinian state if that state were destined to become, under the leadership of Hamas, the tip of an Iranian nuclear spear. …

Following Mr. Netanyahu's disastrous meeting with Mr. Obama earlier this year, we noted the Administration's habit of squeezing America's friends while coddling its enemies. It's good to see at least one of those friends no longer getting the squeeze. Now Mr. Obama has to get serious about the enemies.
More here
 
FDD’s Jonathan Schanzer writes that despite the
warm reception, the two leaders have two different agendas that may clash in the months ahead.
More here.
 
Lee Smith on what Netanyahu will not say in public:
Israel cannot return to the peace process as it is currently configured. The Israelis have been down that road before, and they have paid for misfired U.S. diplomacy in blood.
He quotes former Israeli ambassador Dore Gold:
“After six Israeli prime ministers and three U.S. presidents failed at the peace process,” Gold says, “you’d think people would stop and say, ‘Let’s think about this, maybe a reassessment is needed.’ ” Instead, he continues, the default reaction is to pick up the shattered relics of Oslo, an approach that tends to ignore the Second Intifada and what he has noted was a 500-percent increase in rocket attacks from Gaza after Israel’s 2005 withdrawal. “In think-tank circles it’s said that we all know what the final settlement looks like,” he says. “But this is binding Israel to a legacy of failed negotiations.
More here.
 
More Dore Gold here
 
RUSSIA: Evidently, the Russian goal in the recent spy plot was less to gather intelligence than to gain influence.
 
If so, the Russians should look at the more modern and effective methods used by the Saudis. They don’t befriend professors and other experts -- they give millions of dollars to universities and think tanks to ensure that professors and other experts at these institutions will be friendly to them.
 
The Turks play this game, too. As FDD’s Claudia Rosett recently reported, the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars bestowed its "Public Service" award on Turkey's foreign minister, Ahmet Davutoglu -- after he had undermined U.S. policy vis-à-vis Iran.
 
In tandem with rewarding Davutoglu for catalyzing "the development of Turkey's foreign relations," the Wilson Center also honored a Turkish business tycoon, Ferit Sahenk, with its Woodrow Wilson Award for Corporate Citizenship. …
 
[I]t's hard to escape the conclusion that the chief attributes the Wilson Center has just sought to honor in Istanbul are antagonism toward American values (Davutoglu) and enormous amounts of money (Sahenk).
 
The Iranians have been getting increasingly creative in this sphere as well.
 
HEZBOLLAH: The Iranian proxy appears to be preparing for the next war. More here.
 
FDD’s Michael Ledeen notes that CNN fired Octavia Nasr, a senior editor for Middle East news for 20 years because
she Tweeted some positive comments about Hezbollah's favorite cleric, Mohammed Hossein Fadlallah.

Did anyone have any doubts about Ms. Nasr's sympathies?
More here.
 
Lee Smith writes:
The Western press delights in rattling the bourgeois sensibilities of its audience by showing the multifaceted aspects of Hezbollah -- it’s not just a militia with an appetite for slaughtering Jews, it’s also a social welfare outfit that provides educational opportunities! -- and even collaborates with the Party of God by publishing doctored photographs of Israeli “war crimes.” The op-ed pages of America’s dailies are replete with articles promoting Hezbollah’s “pragmatism” and “moderation” (which also happens to be the position of the president’s counter-terrorism czar John Brennan, and a recent CENTCOM analytical exercise), while reported pieces from Lebanon pass along Party of God press releases as objective analysis. If every U.S. journalist who quoted Hezbollah mouthpiece Amal Saad Ghorayeb as a respected “scholar” was fired, the bars of East Beirut would lose 25 percent of their business.

In Beirut, it’s well understood that the U.S. press corps is at least deftly managed by Hezbollah and its pro-Syrian lapdogs, if not actively in the party’s corner. … The only people who don’t understand how the game is played in Lebanon are American media consumers, because the foreign desk editors back in the U.S. surely know what’s up. …

This infatuation with Hezbollah has been going on for years, and it’s not just because the party established a formidable style of press criticism by kidnapping journalists back in the ’80s. The U.S. media actually likes Hezbollah -- it is an impressive thing, after all, to be able to kill your enemies -- whether they are Jews or fellow Lebanese -- whereas liberalism, non-violent resistance, rule of law, and opposition to political murder lacks sex appeal. …

Who knows that Octavia Nasr really thinks about Fadlallah, but it’s hard to escape the conclusion that she fell prey to minority politics, twice over. As a Christian journalist working in a Muslim majority region, she imagined her profession of respect for a theorist of terror would win her bona fides as an “objective” reporter. And as an Arab she’s taking the fall for a conviction held by virtually all of her Western professional peers.
More here
 
Lee Smith here on the late Ayatollah Fadlallah. 
 
Steven Emerson’s Investigative Project on Hezbollah in Mexico here.
 
PALESTINIANS: Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas mourned the death of a terrorist who organized the 1972 Munich Olympics massacre:
In a condolence telegram quoted in the official [Palestinian Authority] daily newspaper, Abbas referred to Muhammad Daoud Oudeh, who died Saturday, as "a wonderful brother, companion, tough and stubborn, relentless fighter," and described him as "one of the prominent leaders of the Fatah movement." …

On Sept. 5, 1972, eight members of the Palestinian terror organization Black September broke into the athletes' village at the Munich Olympics. They kidnapped and ultimately murdered 11 Israeli athletes and coaches. Oudeh, also known as Abu Daoud, planned the attack. He never expressed remorse for his killings. …

The pride that PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas and the Fatah movement take in Palestinian terrorists who have killed Israeli civilians is part of a pattern. Palestinian Media Watch has reported that Abbas himself has expressed pride in training Hezbollah terrorists, sent greetings to some of the worst Palestinian terrorists in Israeli prisons and funded a computer center named after Dalal Mughrabi, who led the worst terror attack in Israel's history, in which 37 civilians were killed. See these examples and others with link to PMW's website below.
More here and here.  
 
AL-QAEDA: Does the CIA know how many al-Qaeda fighters there are in Afghanistan? FDD fellows Daveed Gartenstein-Ross and Bill Roggio are dubious.
 
More here.
 
MISSILE DEFENSE: Former Governor Mitt Romney argues that the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New-START) with Russia would impede
missile defense, our protection from nuclear-proliferating rogue states such as Iran and North Korea. Its preamble links strategic defense with strategic arsenal. It explicitly forbids the United States from converting intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) silos into missile defense sites. And Russia has expressly reserved the right to walk away from the treaty if it believes that the United States has significantly increased its missile defense capability. …

New START does something the American public would never countenance and the Senate should never permit: It jeopardizes our missile defense system. …

Whatever the reason for the treaty's failings, it must not be ratified: The security of the United States is at stake. The only responsible course is for the Senate to demand and scrutinize the full diplomatic record underlying the treaty. Then it must insist that any linkage between the treaty and our missile defense system be eliminated. In a world where nuclear weapons are proliferating, America's missile defense shield must not be compromised. As currently drafted, New START is a non-starter.
More here.
 
Senator Jon Kyl adds that it’s not clear that
the treaty's verification provisions are adequate. Second, the treaty's failure to take into account Russia's enormous tactical nuclear weapons arsenal (more than 10 times larger than that of the U.S.) and the limitations it places on U.S. conventional global strike capabilities are serious flaws. Third, the treaty links missile defense to strategic arms reduction -- a linkage that had been wisely broken by the Bush administration.

The administration accepted treaty language that will help the Russians argue that the U.S. should cut back development of defenses against ballistic missiles. This is worrisome less because of the explicit limitations on missile defense than because Mr. Obama has repeatedly shown weak support for U.S. missile defense. For this reason and others, senators have asked the administration to open up the negotiating record. They rightly want to understand what concessions the administration made and received.
More here
 
Former Senator Jim Talent here
 
Peter Brookes and Owen Graham here.
 
SHARIA IN AFRICA: An effort is now underway in Kenya
to pass a new constitution. A controversy has broken out about whether it should contain a provision recognizing Islamic courts. …

[A] Washington Post piece notes that
Christian leaders say they fear that if the courts are enshrined in the constitution, "sooner or later, you will find an enclave where they will say we are predominantly Muslim and Islamic laws rule here," said Oliver Kisaka, deputy general secretary of the National Council of Churches of Kenya. "You have created space for the creation of a nation within a nation."

As evidence, the Christian leaders point to an incident in April in which a group of Muslim clerics in the northeastern town of Mandera, near the Somalia border, imposed a ban on public broadcasts of films and soccer ahead of the World Cup.
More here.

To be fair, some Muslim leaders argue that
the courts would stem Islamic radicalism in Kenya. Judges, not mosque imams, would regulate the uses of sharia law. Muslims would feel a deeper sense of national identity.

Kadhis courts are an entity that binds "Muslims to the Kenyan state," said Hassan Ole Naado, head of the Kenyan Muslim Youth Alliance. "It is for the best interests of Kenya to have such courts."
Here’s the larger point: An international effort is now underway to import sharia into nations that do not have Muslim majorities. This movement deserves much more scrutiny than it has received. Disinterested investigation, however, is unlikely to take place in the many Middle East Studies departments -- e.g. at Harvard, Berkeley, Georgetown -- that have received tens of millions of dollars in Saudi largesse. If it’s going to get done it will need to be done by think tanks that do not take money from Islamists.
 
NEO-CONS IN SWEDEN? The Wall Street Journal reports that
a 2,500-strong student union that supports Sweden's leading Moderate Party … showed Israel some welcome support by offering to load and unload Israeli cargo [that the Swedish dockworkers union would not]. The students slammed the longshoremen in a press release and declared that "It is Hamas's fault that people are suffering in Gaza, not Israel's." …

Their statement contains more clarity on Palestinian-Israeli relations than most anything we've heard lately from Europe's grown-ups. Stockholm has been particularly vociferous in denouncing Israel's efforts to defend itself, with Swedish Foreign Minister and Moderate Party elder statesman Carl Bildt having called for an investigation into Israel, and telling the Swedish press that Israel's Palestinian policy is "catastrophic" and "leads to one problem after another." All of which is pro-Israel compared to statements from Mr. Bildt's colleagues on the left. ...

Gustaf Dymov, 24, who chairs the contrarian student union, …[says that] what outrages him the most: "It's very obvious [the dockworkers] did this not out of a will to support the Palestinians but to show hatred toward Israel." …

So Mr. Dymov and his compatriots decided to show the love: "We view this as a conflict between Israel, a democratic and free country that deserves our support; and Hamas, a terror organization that has an explicit aim to destroy and kill other people," he tells us.
More here.
 
TABOO: Author Paul Berman laments that candid discussion of the history and doctrines of the Islamist movement is now politically incorrect:
You are not supposed to point out that Nazi inspirations have visibly taken root among present-day Islamists, notably in regard to the demonic nature of Jewish conspiracies and the virtues of genocide.

And you are not supposed to mention that, by inducing a variety of journalists and intellectuals to maintain a discreet and respectful silence on these awkward matters, the Islamist preachers and ideologues have succeeded in imposing on the rest of us their own categories of analysis.
Worth reading the entire op-ed which is here
 
TOP CHOICE: President Obama has chosen Marine General James Mattis to succeed David Petraeus as head of U.S. Central Command. Praise from The Wall Street Journal is here.

WHAT CAUSES EARTHQUAKES: The Telegraph (UK) reports that
an Iranian cleric claimed women who wear revealing clothes cause natural disasters. Hojjat ol-eslam Kazem Sediqi, a prayer leader in Tehran, said: "Many women who do not dress modestly lead young men astray and spread adultery in society, which increases earthquakes."
Also in this article: Everything you wanted to know about Iranian hair care but were afraid to ask. It’s all here.
 
TO PARADISE AND BEYOND? NASA Administrator Charles Bolden said in a recent interview that his "foremost" mission as the head of America's space exploration agency is to improve relations with the Muslim world.

More here, here and here.  
 
Jay Nordlinger notes:
I was thinking that, in the interest of evenhandedness in our Middle East policy, we could reach out to the Jews to make them feel good about their contribution to science -- just in case they’re feeling low. Really, you can’t expect them to have made any contribution to science: They are so few in number, and they have been storm-tossed for centuries, driven from one country to another, sometimes murdered en masse . . .

[S]ay that, back in the 2008 campaign, you had remarked, “If Obama becomes president, he will demand that NASA devote itself to making Muslims feel good about their contributions to science.” You would have been called the worst and wildest kind of right-winger.
More here.
 
Mona Charen has more here.
 
YOUR TAX DOLLARS AT WORK: An examination of the American tax code indicates that oil production is among the most heavily subsidized businesses, with tax breaks available at virtually every stage of the exploration and extraction process. …

More here.
 
BP’S LIBYAN CONNECTION: Columnist and FDD advisor Bret Stephens tells the tale here.
 
BACK TO THE FRONT: A former detainee held at Guantanamo Bay for nearly three years has been arrested in Pakistan on terrorism charges. FDD’s Tom Joscelyn reports:
Khan and his family members claimed he was an innocent man who was wrongly detained. Their protests garnered a substantive hearing in the press. An October 29, 2002 account in Time magazine claimed, based on a letter Khan sent to his family, and his family's testimony, that Khan was "was nothing more than a fool in love, caught in the wrong place at the wrong time." According to this account, Khan traveled to Afghanistan in 2001 merely to visit his wife, who had taken their child to Mazar e Sharif to visit her family.

Another account, based on an interview with Khan after his release from Gitmo, appeared in McClatchy Newspapers in 2008. According to this version of his story, Khan "said he'd moved [to Afghanistan] in 1998 with his wife, an Afghan, and set up a small medical practice." …

Khan claimed he had been beaten and humiliated at Guantanamo.
More here.
 
TOP CHEF, WAZIRISTAN? Tom on the Gitmo detainee who pled guilty before a military commission -- and was not just Osama bin Laden’s cook. More here.
 
Andy McCarthy on why it’s significant that he pled guilty to terrorism charges in a military commission and that material support to terrorism was included among the charges to which he admitted guilt. Andy adds:
President Obama has come grudgingly to accept military commissions, just as he now accepts the detention of enemy combatants without trial, the continuing operation of the Guantanamo Bay detention camp, the preservation of state secrets, and aggressive national-security surveillance.
More here
 
--Cliff May
 
IN THEIR OWN WORDS
"Islamism is the term that describes the growing global movement of Muslims for whom the supremacy of their faith justifies every kind of deception and violence. … Islamism means jihad, and jihad means the imposition of Sharia, or Islamic law as laid down in a doctrinal and theological form that cannot be challenged, and that means a Muslim society and Muslim supremacy for ever and ever, amen. …"
(06/07/2010) Author David Pryce-Jones
 
"Kill the Jews wherever you find them. This pleases God, history and religion."
(1944) Amin al-Husseini, Mufti of Jerusalem, on Radio Berlin
 
"[W]e have to be honest about the fact we have a problem inside our community."
(07/07/2010) Asra Nomani, Muslim-American Author
 
IN THE MEDIA
The Homegrown Terror Threat
07/12/2010, Daveed Gartenstein-Ross, inFocus
Homegrown terrorism has been much discussed on cable news channels and the op-ed pages of major newspapers in recent months. The attention is unsurprising. After all, 2009 saw more homegrown terrorist activity in the U.S. than any other year since the 9/11 attacks, and the phenomenon continues to threaten the country in the new year.
 
Counting al Qaeda
07/12/2010, Bill Roggio, Daveed Gartenstein-Ross, The Weekly Standard
When CIA director Leon Panetta declared on a Sunday talk show in late June that "we're looking at maybe 50 to 100" al Qaeda fighters in Afghanistan, "maybe less," some commentators took this as a political turning point. British journalist and author Stephen Grey commented via his Twitter account, for example, that the statement "could change the whole war debate."
 
Obama Taps Two Men Who Know How to Win
07/9/2010, Kathleen Troia "KT" McFarland, FoxNews.com
Rolling Stone magazine may have done in Gen. Stanley McChrystal, but the Rolling Stones may have it had right when they sang, "You can't always get what you want... But if you try sometimes you might find you get what you need."
 
Our Friends, the Saudis?
07/8/2010, Clifford D. May, Scripps Howard News Service
Did you, friendly American person, happen to notice that while His Highness confirmed that Americans are friends of Saudis, Arabs and Muslims, he did not say that Saudis, Arabs and Muslims are friends of Americans?
 
Al Qaeda Bodyguard And Accountant Pleads Guilty Before Military Commission
07/7/2010, Thomas Joscelyn, The Long War Journal
Ibrahim Ahmed Mahmoud al Qosi, a Sudanese detainee held at Guantanamo Bay, pled guilty to charges of conspiracy and material support for terrorism before a military commission today.
 
Bibi and Barack's Smiles Cannot Erase Challenges to U.S-Israel Relations
07/7/2010, Jonathan Schanzer, FoxNews.com
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Barack Obama were all smiles in front of a sea of cameras at the White House yesterday. The president's press team was not kidding when it told journalists beforehand that the summit would be significantly warmer than Netanyahu’s March visit, when Obama upbraided Netanyahu over Israel’s Jerusalem policies and refused to snap photographs with him.

 
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